Guolian Minsheng Securities·2025-08-20 12:53Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5][11] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 227.2 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 38.2%, with an adjusted net profit of 21.5 billion yuan, up 69.8% year-on-year. In Q2 alone, the total revenue reached 116 billion yuan, with an adjusted net profit of 10.8 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 75.4% [3][11] Summary by Sections Automotive Sector - The automotive business saw accelerated scale effects, with Q2 revenue from smart electric vehicles and other innovative businesses reaching 21.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 234%. The company delivered 81,000 vehicles in Q2, a year-on-year increase of 198%, with an average selling price (ASP) of 254,000 yuan, up 11% year-on-year. The gross margin for the automotive business was 26.4%, an increase of 11 percentage points year-on-year [12] Smartphone Sector - In Q2 2025, the smartphone business generated revenue of 45.5 billion yuan, with a shipment volume of 42.4 million units, marking eight consecutive quarters of year-on-year growth. The company achieved a market share of 24.7% in the 4,000-5,000 yuan price range, ranking first, and a 15.4% market share in the 5,000-6,000 yuan range, up 6.5 percentage points year-on-year [13] IoT Sector - The IoT and lifestyle products segment achieved a record revenue of 38.7 billion yuan in Q2, a year-on-year increase of 45%, with a gross margin of 22.5%. The smart home appliances segment performed strongly, with air conditioner shipments exceeding 5.4 million units, a growth of over 60% year-on-year [14] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 474.4 billion yuan, 588.7 billion yuan, and 696.4 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 30%, 24%, and 18%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 43.7 billion yuan, 56.7 billion yuan, and 71.4 billion yuan for the same years, with corresponding EPS of 1.68 yuan, 2.18 yuan, and 2.74 yuan per share [14][15]