Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for China Construction Industry (830 HK) with a target price adjusted to HKD 1.75 from HKD 1.93, reflecting a potential upside of 17.2% based on a 6.0x FY25 target P/E ratio [5][7][16]. Core Insights - The company's FY25 interim performance was below expectations, with total revenue and net profit declining by 29.3% and 29.8% year-on-year to HKD 3.34 billion and HKD 390 million, respectively. The decline is attributed to a sluggish Hong Kong real estate market, leading to a slowdown in residential and commercial curtain wall projects [1][5]. - New contract signings for curtain wall projects decreased by 27.9% year-on-year to HKD 3.84 billion, with significant drops in both Hong Kong and mainland contracts [1]. - The report highlights a significant drop in new private residential construction in Hong Kong, down 57.0% year-on-year to approximately 6,100 units, indicating market adjustments to alleviate inventory increases [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY25, the company reported a total revenue of HKD 3.34 billion and a net profit of HKD 390 million, reflecting declines of 29.3% and 29.8% respectively. The curtain wall revenue from Hong Kong and Macau fell by 32.3% to HKD 2.07 billion, accounting for 62.0% of total revenue [1][12]. - The gross profit margin improved slightly to 17.6%, up from 16.1% in the previous year, despite the overall decline in revenue [12]. Market Positioning - The company continues to focus on high-value cities in mainland China, securing contracts with reputable developers and new economy enterprises. Notable projects include contracts with Swire Properties and Huawei [3]. - The company is also expanding into friendly overseas markets, winning contracts for three projects in Singapore, including a BIPV project at Changi Airport [4]. Financial Projections - The report adjusts the FY25-26 net profit forecasts down by 9.7% and 15.6%, respectively, while introducing a new forecast for FY27. The updated projections indicate a gradual recovery in revenue and profit margins in the coming years [5][6][12].
中国建筑兴业（00830）：静待良机