Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 24.48 CNY, based on a projected 36 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company's revenue and gross margin forecasts have been revised downwards, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 391 million, 473 million, and 567 million CNY respectively, reflecting a long-term growth potential driven by strong competitiveness in respiratory and cochlear implant businesses [4][10]. - Despite a challenging performance due to geopolitical factors, the company has shown promising growth in emerging businesses, particularly in blood glucose management, which is anticipated to become a significant growth driver [10]. - The expansion of production capacity in Malaysia is expected to enhance supply chain stability and strengthen long-term relationships with international clients [10]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 1,338 million CNY, with a year-on-year decline of 5.5%, followed by a recovery with expected growth rates of 19.2%, 18.6%, 18.2%, and 18.3% for the subsequent years [5][12]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 41.5% to 41.8% from 2025 to 2027, while net profit margins are projected to decline slightly from 23.4% in 2023 to around 21.4% by 2027 [5][12]. - The company’s earnings per share are forecasted to increase from 0.55 CNY in 2023 to 1.00 CNY by 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [5][12].
美好医疗(301363):2025年中报点评:业绩承压,血糖管理潜力可期