【粤开宏观】老有所养：中国基本养老保险的问题与建议

Group 1: Current Status of Basic Pension Insurance System - The basic pension insurance system in China has a coverage rate of 95%, with 1.07 billion participants as of 2024[18] - Urban employee pensions have been increasing steadily, with a 1.6 times growth in the minimum standard for rural residents' basic pensions over the past decade[18] - The average monthly pension for urban residents in 2024 is only 246 yuan, which is below the rural minimum living standard of approximately 594 yuan[26] Group 2: Key Issues in the Pension System - The pension replacement rate for urban employees has decreased to 52% in 2024, down 8.7 percentage points since 2018, which is below the International Labour Organization's recommended minimum of 55%[26] - There are significant disparities in pension benefits among different groups, with urban residents receiving an average of 223 yuan, while civil servants and enterprise retirees receive 6,243 yuan and 3,271 yuan respectively, making the former's benefits 28 times and 15 times lower[30] - The reliance on fiscal subsidies for basic pension insurance is high, with subsidies reaching 1.8 trillion yuan in 2023, accounting for approximately 26% of total pension expenditures[9] Group 3: Policy Recommendations - It is suggested to implement a "State-owned Assets-Finance-Social Security" linkage reform to gradually increase the average monthly pension for urban residents to the rural minimum living standard, requiring an additional funding of nearly 800 billion yuan annually[57] - A phased approach to reduce the fiscal subsidy gap between different groups is recommended, ensuring that subsidies reflect the contribution levels of each group[59] - Accelerating the nationwide coordination of the basic pension insurance system is crucial to adapt to population mobility and improve the fiscal relationship between central and local governments[61]