Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-20 15:22Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the electric heavy truck industry, indicating significant growth potential driven by policy support and economic advantages [2][4]. Core Insights - The domestic electric heavy truck market is experiencing rapid growth, with sales reaching 79,200 units in the first half of 2025, representing a penetration rate of 22% [3][15]. - The report highlights the increasing penetration of electric heavy trucks in both domestic and European markets, with projections indicating that by 2028, China's electric heavy truck sales could reach 500,000 units, driving a demand for 250 GWh of batteries [3][4]. - The electric heavy truck industry chain is becoming more integrated, with a concentrated market structure that enhances profit elasticity across various segments [5][8]. Summary by Sections Domestic Electric Heavy Truck Market - The penetration rate of electric heavy trucks has rapidly increased due to government policies and economic advantages, with significant sales growth observed in recent years [14][15]. - The report notes that the electric heavy truck market is primarily focused on regional logistics applications, with specific use cases in construction, mining, and municipal services [18][20]. European Electric Heavy Truck Market - The European market for electric light and medium trucks is advancing quickly, with electric heavy trucks identified as a blue ocean opportunity [3][4]. - By 2026, European electric heavy truck sales are expected to reach 17,000 units, with a penetration rate projected to rise to 5% [3][4]. Industry Chain and Profitability - The electric heavy truck industry chain is increasingly collaborative, with a focus on specialized products across various segments, including vehicle, battery, and motor development [5][8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on key segments within the electric heavy truck industry chain, including manufacturers, battery suppliers, and component producers [4][5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring key players in the electric heavy truck sector, including Foton Motor, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, and FAW Jiefang for vehicle production [4][5]. - Battery manufacturers such as CATL and Guoxuan High-Tech are highlighted as potential investment opportunities due to the expected surge in demand for electric heavy truck batteries [4][5].