Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-21 00:43Core Insights - The report highlights the strong growth potential of Industrial Fulian (601138) driven by AI demand, with projected revenues of 843.4 billion, 1,320.3 billion, and 1,715.6 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting growth rates of 38.5%, 56.5%, and 29.9% respectively, and net profits of 30.5 billion, 50.5 billion, and 59.4 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 31.5%, 65.5%, and 17.6% [2][11] - Xiaomi Group (01810) reported record high revenues and profits in Q2 2025, with revenues of 116 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, and adjusted net profits of 10.8 billion yuan, up 75% year-on-year, driven by IoT and EV segments [10][12] - Nine Dragons Paper (2689.HK) expects significant profit growth for FY25, with net profits projected between 2.1 billion and 2.3 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 165%-190%, attributed to increased sales and cost reductions [13][15] Industrial Fulian (601138) - The company’s main business includes cloud computing, communication, and industrial internet, with a notable increase in cloud computing revenue expected to reach 319.38 billion yuan in 2024, a 64.4% year-on-year growth [11] - AI server demand is surging, with global cloud providers' capital expenditures increasing by 64% year-on-year, indicating strong market demand [11] - The company is expected to maintain a leading position in the high-speed switch market, with revenues from 800G switches projected to triple compared to 2024 [11] Xiaomi Group (01810) - The company’s IoT segment saw a revenue increase of 45% in Q2, with smart home appliances achieving record sales, particularly in air conditioning and washing machines [12][14] - The electric vehicle segment reported a revenue of 21.3 billion yuan with a significant improvement in gross margin, indicating a positive trend towards profitability [12][14] - Xiaomi plans to expand its global footprint in the home appliance sector, marking 2025 as a pivotal year for international sales [12][14] Nine Dragons Paper (2689.HK) - The company is focusing on a diversified product strategy and integrated pulp-paper operations, which are expected to enhance profitability significantly [15][16] - The anticipated increase in paper prices due to improved supply-demand dynamics is expected to further boost profits [15][16] - The company’s production capacity is set to expand, with new lines expected to come online, reinforcing its market position [15][16] Electric Heavy Trucks Industry - The electric heavy truck market in China is experiencing rapid growth, with sales reaching 79,200 units in the first half of 2025, representing a penetration rate of 22% [18] - The European market is also seeing a rise in electric heavy truck adoption, with projections indicating significant growth in sales and market penetration by 2026 [18] - The industry is becoming increasingly collaborative, with a focus on developing specialized products across the supply chain, enhancing profitability potential [18] Other Companies - Keda Li (002850) reported strong revenue growth in Q2, driven by its structural components business and advancements in robotics [19] - China Hongqiao (01378) is set to benefit from increased production capacity and a favorable pricing environment for aluminum products, with projected net profits significantly increasing [20][21] - Blue Sky Technology (300487) continues to show growth potential, with a focus on expanding its product offerings and market presence [22]