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电力月报:多地“136”号文衔接落地,风光装机抢装告一段落-20250821
Xinda Securities·2025-08-21 02:08

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electricity industry is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights the implementation of the "136" policy in five regions, leading to significant differentiation in the support for existing and new energy projects [7][10] - Future outlook indicates a need for clarity on pricing mechanisms, which will impact investment enthusiasm in the renewable energy sector [10] Summary by Sections Monthly Special Commentary - Five regions have introduced connection mechanisms, showing clear differentiation in support for existing and new energy projects. Shanxi has a robust protection for existing projects, while Hainan offers moderate support with lower guarantees for new projects. Liaoning provides good protection for existing projects but less favorable terms for new projects. Gansu has limited support for existing projects, and Ningxia offers the least protection overall [8][11] Monthly Sector and Key Listed Company Performance - In July, the electricity and public utilities sector fell by 0.8%, underperforming the broader market, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 3.54% [12][15] Monthly Electricity Demand Analysis - In June 2025, total electricity consumption reached 867 billion kWh, with a year-on-year growth of 5.40%. The growth rate for the secondary industry improved, while residential electricity consumption continued to rise [18][20] Monthly Electricity Supply Analysis - National electricity generation in June 2025 increased by 1.70% year-on-year, with coal power generation growing by 1.10% and solar power generation surging by 28.70% [39][40] Monthly Electricity Market Data Analysis - The average purchase price of electricity in August was 384.25 RMB/MWh, reflecting a 1.18% increase month-on-month [39] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the electricity sector is poised for profit improvement and value reassessment, particularly as the supply-demand balance stabilizes and new energy installations continue to grow [10][11]