Guoxin Securities·2025-08-21 02:18Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 showed significant growth, with revenue reaching HKD 14.076 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.5%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at HKD 8.519 billion, up 39.1% [1][9] - The increase in trading volume, particularly from southbound funds, has been a key driver of the company's performance, with the average daily trading (ADT) for H1 2025 reaching HKD 222.8 billion, a 122.1% increase year-on-year [2][13] - The company has maintained a high EBITDA margin of 77.7% in H1 2025, reflecting its efficient business model and strong profitability [1][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved an EBITDA margin of 77.7%, with operating expenses of HKD 2.973 billion, of which staff costs accounted for 65.6% [3][24] - The annualized return on equity (ROE) increased to 30.76%, nearing the peak levels seen in 2015 [1][9] Market Dynamics - The southbound trading activity has significantly contributed to the trading volume, with southbound funds showing strong buying power, while international intermediaries have reduced net selling since early July [2][18] - The IPO market in Hong Kong has rebounded, with H1 2025 IPO amounts reaching HKD 109 billion, reclaiming the top position globally [2][13] Investment Recommendations - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 3.99%, 5.37%, and 5.53% respectively, based on the strong performance in H1 2025 [4][26] - The ongoing dual opening of capital markets and the company's strategic initiatives are expected to enhance its revenue and profit growth potential [4][24]