海天国际（01882）：供应链迁移推动海外注塑机需求

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of Haitian International to "Buy" with a target price of HK$26.00, revised from HK$25.12 [1]. Core Insights - Haitian International reported strong mid-year performance with overseas sales growth exceeding expectations, while domestic sales remained stable. The shift of supply chains from mainland China to Southeast Asia is driving overseas sales growth, which is expected to continue for the remainder of the year. This trend may offset weak domestic sales [1]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to RMB 17,949 million (+1.2%), RMB 17,711 million (+0.1%), and RMB 20,309 million (+1.0%) respectively. Expected earnings per share for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 2.127 (+2.6%), RMB 2.032 (+1.4%), and RMB 2.301 (+1.7%) respectively [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, revenue reached RMB 90.18 billion, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.2%. The sales structure saw slight changes, with the Jupiter series showing a quarter-on-quarter growth [1]. - The overseas sales amounted to RMB 38.18 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20%. Notably, revenue from Southeast Asia grew significantly, reaching RMB 17.83 billion, a year-on-year increase of 90.0% [1]. - Domestic sales remained stable at RMB 52.01 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 0.3% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 5.5% [1]. Financial Projections - The report provides detailed financial projections, including total revenue, net profit, and earnings per share for the years 2023 to 2027. For instance, the projected net profit for 2025 is RMB 3,395 million, with an EPS of RMB 2.127 [2][15]. - The gross margin is expected to be around 32.9% in 2025, with operating profit margin and net margin projected at 21.9% and 18.9% respectively [16]. Market Position - Haitian International's market capitalization is approximately HK$34,442 million, with a share price of HK$21.580. The company holds a significant position in the injection molding machine market, contributing to its robust overseas sales performance [1][2].