Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported better-than-expected earnings, with revenue growth and a narrowing decline in RevPAR anticipated [1] - The company is positioned as a benchmark in the hotel industry, leveraging brand strength and membership systems to create competitive barriers [7] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts upward due to exchange gains and revenue structure optimization, projecting net profits of 4.55 billion, 4.82 billion, and 4.96 billion for 2025-2027 [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 21.88 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 57.86% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is expected to be 4.08 billion, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 324.33% [1] - The company plans to open 2,300 new stores in the year, with a net increase of 1,700 stores [7] - The company’s revenue for Q2 2025 reached 6.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, exceeding guidance [7] - The adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was 2.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32% [7] Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 23.89 billion, 24.99 billion, 27.14 billion, and 28.99 billion respectively [1] - The projected net profit for 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 3.09 billion, 4.55 billion, 4.82 billion, and 4.96 billion respectively [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is expected to be 1.32, increasing to 1.47 in 2025 [1] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 26.30 HKD, with a market capitalization of approximately 74.71 billion HKD [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 19.20 for 2023 and decrease to 15.82 by 2027 [1]
华住集团-S（01179）：盈利超预期，RevPar降幅有望持续收窄