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圣贝拉(02508):全周期矩阵增长积极,利润弹性释放
SAINT BELLASAINT BELLA(HK:02508) HTSC·2025-08-21 03:37

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][5]. Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue of 450 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, and an adjusted net profit of 38.78 million RMB, up 126.1% year-on-year [1][12]. - The company is benefiting from an effective entrusted management model, leading to accelerated expansion and a significant increase in the number of stores [2][1]. - New business segments, including postpartum recovery and home care services, are showing positive growth trends, contributing to the overall service matrix [1][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company's revenue reached 450 million RMB, with a gross profit margin of 37.6%, up 3.6 percentage points year-on-year [12]. - The adjusted net profit for 1H25 was 38.78 million RMB, reflecting a significant turnaround from a loss in the previous year [12][1]. Business Expansion - The number of maternity centers increased to 113 by the end of 1H25, with a net addition of 36 centers compared to the end of 2024 [2][1]. - The company’s home care service revenue grew by 41.7% year-on-year, indicating strong demand and customer retention [3][12]. Profitability and Efficiency - The marketing expense ratio decreased to 12.0%, and the management expense ratio fell to 22.1%, contributing to improved profitability [4][1]. - The company plans to launch an AI Agent product in the second half of 2025, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and profitability [4][1]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts adjusted net profits of 120.69 million RMB, 204.77 million RMB, and 306.16 million RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5][10]. - The target price is set at 9.76 HKD, reflecting a premium valuation due to the company's growth potential and market position [5][7].