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海天国际(01882):全球化布局的经营韧性突显

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 30.00, representing a potential upside of 37.6% from the current price of HKD 21.80 [1][3]. Core Insights - The company's resilience in global operations is highlighted, with a strong performance in both domestic and international markets. The report emphasizes the growth in sales across various models, driven by robust demand in the domestic new energy vehicle and home appliance sectors [2][5]. - The company is accelerating overseas expansion to mitigate uncertainties, with significant revenue growth from international markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, Europe, North America, and South America [5][6]. - Financial projections indicate steady revenue and profit growth, with expected revenues of RMB 17.98 billion, RMB 19.01 billion, and RMB 20.42 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, alongside net profits of RMB 3.37 billion, RMB 3.61 billion, and RMB 3.95 billion for the same years [4][6]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at RMB 13.07 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 6.2%. This is expected to increase to RMB 16.13 billion in 2024, reflecting a 23.4% growth [4][7]. - The gross margin is expected to improve gradually from 32.1% in 2023 to 34.0% by 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [4][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from RMB 1.56 in 2023 to RMB 2.48 by 2027, showcasing a consistent upward trend [4][6]. Operational Performance - The company reported a solid performance in the first half of 2025, with revenues of RMB 90.2 billion, a year-over-year increase of 12.5%. The gross margin stood at 32.8%, slightly up from the previous year [5][6]. - Sales volume increased by 8.8% year-over-year, with an average selling price of RMB 293,000, reflecting a 2.8% increase [5][6]. - The company is expected to benefit from its global production capacity and service support, which will enhance its competitive edge in the injection molding machine sector [5][6].