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裕元集团(00551):制造业务展现韧性,零售业务仍有压力
NORTHEAST SECURITIES·2025-08-21 08:42

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [10][4] Core Views - The manufacturing business shows resilience with a 6.2% year-on-year revenue growth in H1 2025, reaching $2.8 billion. The outdoor sports shoes and casual shoes segments grew by 4.9% and 29.2% respectively, while the overall footwear shipment volume increased by 5% to 130 million pairs [1][2] - The retail business faces pressure, with a revenue decline of 8.3% in H1 2025, totaling 9.16 billion yuan. Physical store sales dropped by 14%, and same-store sales fell by 10% to 20% [2][3] - The company expects revenue growth of 2.5%, 6%, and 5.4% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profit growth of 0.8%, 10.2%, and 6.9% during the same period [3][9] Financial Summary - H1 2025 revenue reached $4.06 billion, a 1.1% increase year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 7.2% to $170 million. Q2 revenue slightly declined by 0.4% to $2.03 billion, but net profit increased by 13% to $100 million [1][2] - The manufacturing business's gross margin decreased by 1.4 percentage points to 17.7% in H1 2025, primarily due to uneven capacity utilization and rising labor costs [2][3] - The retail business's gross margin fell by 0.7 percentage points to 33.5% in H1 2025, attributed to increased discounts amid fluctuating consumer demand [3][9]