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瑞达期货集运指数(欧线)期货日报-20250821

Report Overview - Report Date: August 21, 2025 - Report Type: Freight Index (European Line) Futures Daily Report Key Data Futures Market - EC2510 (Main Contract) Closing Price: 1325.00, down 33.8 [1] - EC2512 Closing Price: 1721.4, down 48.2 [1] - EC2510-EC2512 Spread: -420.90, up 0.00 [1] - EC2510-EC2602 Spread: -177.00, up 0.00 [1] - EC Contract Basis: 825.17, up 0.00 [1] - EC Main Contract Open Interest: 54,293, up 2,566 [1] Spot Market - SCFIS (European Line) (Weekly): 2180.17, down 55.31 [1] - SCFIS (US West Coast Line) (Weekly): 1106.29, down 24.15 [1] - SCFI (Composite Index) (Weekly): 1460.19, down 29.49 [1] - CCFI (Composite Index) (Weekly): 1193.34, down 7.39 [1] - CCFI (European Line) (Weekly): 1790.47, down 8.58 [1] - Baltic Dry Index (Daily): 1927.00, up 37.00 [1] - Panamax Freight Index (Daily): 1665.00, down 28.00 [1] - Average Charter Price (Panamax Vessel): 13789.00, down 98.00 [1] - Average Charter Price (Cape Vessel): 21200.00, down 786.00 [1] Core View - On Thursday, the freight index (European line) futures prices fell collectively, with the main contract EC2510 down 2.49% and the far-month contracts down 1-3% [1] - The latest SCFIS European line settlement freight rate index was 2180.17, down 55.31 points from last week, a 2.5% week-on-week decline [1] - The top shipping companies launched a "price war" to compete for off-season cargo volume, and the market expectation turned cold [1] - US President Trump's plan to impose tariffs on steel, chips, and semiconductors increased the uncertainty of global trade [1] - The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September decreased marginally, while the ECB had more flexibility in its interest rate policy [1] - Overall, the uncertainty of the trade war remained, the demand expectation of the freight index (European line) was weak, and the futures price fluctuated greatly [1] Industry News - The Fed's July meeting minutes showed that almost all policymakers supported not cutting interest rates, and there were differences among Fed officials on inflation, employment risks, and the impact of tariffs on inflation [1] - US President Trump called on Fed Governor Cook to resign, and the FHFA Director accused Cook of mortgage fraud [1] - ECB President Lagarde said that the eurozone's economic growth might slow down this quarter, and the global trade situation remained unclear [1] - The Indonesian central bank unexpectedly cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 5% for the fourth time this year [1] Upcoming Data Releases - UK August Gfk Consumer Confidence Index on August 22 at 07:01 [1] - Japan July Core CPI Annual Rate on August 22 at 07:30 [1] - Germany Second Quarter Unadjusted GDP Annual Rate Final Value on August 22 at 14:00 [1]