Wencan(SH:603348) Minsheng Securities·2025-08-21 10:29Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.8 billion yuan for H1 2025, a decrease of 8.88% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13 million yuan, down 83.98% year-on-year. The Q2 2025 revenue was 1.53 billion yuan, a decline of 4.0% year-on-year but an increase of 20.6% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The performance of the company's main operations remained stable, with a revenue of 1.599 billion yuan in H1 2025, roughly unchanged from the previous year. The revenue from body structure components increased by 13.43% year-on-year, driven by the release of large integrated body component orders. However, the French subsidiary's revenue decreased due to reduced orders from European and American clients [2]. - The company is focusing on high-end customer and product strategies, with significant breakthroughs in core business areas. The production capacity for large integrated body components was released in June, and the company is accelerating its global capacity layout [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders was 13 million yuan, a decline of 83.98% year-on-year, primarily due to losses from the French subsidiary. The main operations achieved a net profit of 80 million yuan, up 9.95% year-on-year, supported by cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures [2]. - The company’s expenses were optimized, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios at 4.9%, 3.8%, 5.1%, and -1.0% respectively, showing a continuous improvement in expense structure [2]. Strategic Developments - The company is a pioneer in integrated die-casting and is actively engaging with leading new energy vehicle manufacturers. The order backlog continues to grow, and production for core customer projects is expected to ramp up starting in 2025, which may drive gradual improvement in performance [4]. - The company has established itself as a core supplier for Huawei's Seres, with significant vehicle delivery numbers expected to drive capacity utilization and performance recovery [3]. Earnings Forecast - The report adjusts the earnings forecast, estimating revenues of 6.42 billion, 7.80 billion, and 9.54 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 127 million, 288 million, and 435 million yuan for the same years. The EPS is projected to be 0.40, 0.92, and 1.38 yuan [4][5].