XQL Slewing Bearing(SZ:300850) Zhongyuan Securities·2025-08-21 12:35Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained), indicating an expected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [31]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profitability, with total revenue reaching 2.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 108.98%, and a net profit of 400 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [6][7]. - The gross margin improved to 28.48%, up 13.44 percentage points year-on-year, driven by increased demand in the wind power sector and an optimized product mix [7][12]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic wind power bearing market, benefiting from the ongoing trend of localization in the industry [8][12]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 400 million yuan, a significant recovery from previous losses, with a non-recurring net profit of 335 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2200.56% [6][7]. - The operating cash flow for the period was 96.81 million yuan, a decrease of 66.65% year-on-year [6]. - The company’s weighted average return on equity (ROE) was 7.40% [6]. Business Segment Performance - Revenue from the slewing bearing segment was 1.749 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 116.43%, accounting for 79.14% of total revenue [10]. - The locking disc segment generated 160 million yuan in revenue, up 26.05% year-on-year [10]. - The forging segment saw revenue of 134 million yuan, a remarkable growth of 204.83% [10]. Market Outlook and Projections - The wind power industry is experiencing a significant upturn, with new installations in China reaching 51.39 GW in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 98.88% [12]. - The company’s revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are adjusted to 4.22 billion yuan, 5.15 billion yuan, and 6.06 billion yuan, respectively, with net profit forecasts of 610 million yuan, 747 million yuan, and 869 million yuan [13][14].