银河期货胶版印刷纸日报-20250821

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The double - offset paper market remained stable overall, with limited changes in market transactions due to increased wait - and - see sentiment among industry players as the double - offset paper futures approached. Although production increased slightly, demand did not improve, and inventory rose. Paper mills had a strong willingness to maintain prices due to cost and profit considerations [5][8]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Data Analysis - Double - offset paper prices: The prices of 70g double - offset paper in various regions remained unchanged on a daily and weekly basis. For example, the price of 70g double - offset paper of Chenming Yunbao in Hebei was 4900 yuan/ton, with 0.00% daily and weekly changes [3]. - Copperplate paper prices: The prices of 157g double - copper paper were stable daily, but most had a week - on - week decline. For example, the price of 157g double - copper paper of Taiyang Tianyang in Beijing was 5100 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decline of 0.97% [3]. - Pulp prices: The prices of some types of pulp declined. The price of coniferous pulp of Yinxing in Shanghai was 5850 yuan/ton, with a daily and weekly decline of 0.85%. The price of Russian - brand coniferous pulp in the Jiangsu - Zhejiang - Shanghai region was 5150 yuan/ton, with a daily decline of 1.90% and a weekly decline of 2.83% [3]. 3.2 Market Judgment - Market situation: The double - offset paper market was generally stable. Dealer shipments did not improve significantly, and new orders from downstream printing factories were average. The wait - and - see sentiment increased as the futures approached [5]. - Price in Shandong: The mainstream negotiated price of high - whiteness double - offset paper in the Shandong market was 4850 - 4900 yuan/ton, and the price of some natural - whiteness double - offset paper was in the range of 4500 - 4700 yuan/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous day [5]. - Wood chip market: The purchase price of wood chips was mainly stable, with individual price increases. The purchase price of poplar chips in some northern regions was in the range of 1120 - 1400 yuan/absolute dry ton. Some pulp mills in Shandong planned to resume production, but the increase in market supply was not significant [5]. - Inventory and production: The inventory days of double - offset paper increased by 0.60% compared to last Thursday. The weekly operating rate was 48.52%, a decrease of 0.16 percentage points. The production increased by 0.1 million tons to 20.8 million tons, a growth of 0.5%. The production enterprise inventory was 117.8 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 1.2% [5][8]. - Logic analysis: Some paper machines were transferred or cross - scheduled, and there were planned maintenance on some production lines. Seasonal printing orders were coming to an end, and social orders were not boosted. Paper mills had a strong willingness to maintain prices to ensure profits. Pulp prices remained low, with high port inventories and sufficient supply [8]. 3.3 Related Attachments - The report provides four figures, including double - offset paper production, in - factory inventory, social inventory, and production profit, with data from 2021 - 2025 [11][14].