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亚盛医药-B(06855):药品商业化符合预期,临床推进潜力倍增

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's drug commercialization is in line with expectations, and the potential for clinical advancement has significantly increased [1] - The core product, Orebate, has shown impressive sales growth, with a year-on-year increase of 92.4% to 217 million yuan in the first half of 2025, and is expected to double by the end of the year [7] - The company has successfully launched another product, Lisatoclax, which received conditional approval for marketing, indicating strong commercialization progress [7] - The company has a robust cash reserve of over 3 billion yuan, sufficient to support ongoing pipeline development [7] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upwards due to the anticipated sales growth of Orebate and Lisatoclax [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 225.09 million yuan, with significant growth expected in subsequent years, reaching 3,265.89 million yuan by 2026 [1] - The net profit for 2023 is expected to be a loss of 925.64 million yuan, with a forecasted recovery to a profit of 1,058.67 million yuan by 2026 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to improve from a loss of 2.49 yuan in 2023 to a profit of 2.85 yuan in 2026 [1] - The company’s cash and cash equivalents are expected to reach 1,105.83 million yuan by 2025, supporting its operational needs [8]