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赛意信息(300687):卸尽利空轻装上阵,AI 绑定高景气 PCB 行业

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The company’s revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are adjusted to 2.455 billion, 2.948 billion, and 3.519 billion RMB respectively, with net profits of 141 million, 319 million, and 343 million RMB [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE valuation of 90.5, 39.9, and 37.2 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company expects a revenue of 2.254 billion RMB, with a slight decline of 0.75% year-on-year, and a projected growth of 6.27% in 2024 [8] - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 254 million RMB, reflecting a growth of 1.98% year-on-year, but a significant drop of 45.21% is expected in 2024 [8] - The diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is projected to be 0.620 RMB, decreasing to 0.340 RMB in 2024, before recovering to 0.345 RMB in 2025 [8] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline from 9.58% in 2023 to 5.22% in 2024, before rebounding to 10.29% in 2026 [8] Market Analysis - The company reported a revenue of 9.02 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 15.73%, with Q2 revenue at 4.13 billion RMB, down 22.21% year-on-year [9] - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 31.91%, an increase of 1.52 percentage points, attributed to a higher proportion of high-margin smart manufacturing business [9] - The company’s ERP business saw a revenue decline of 19.04%, while the smart manufacturing and industrial internet segments also experienced a decrease of 9.30% [9] Valuation Metrics - The report provides a detailed forecast of the company's financials, including a projected revenue growth rate of 20.05% in 2026 and 19.38% in 2027 [8] - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to be 4.38 in 2025, decreasing to 3.85 by 2027 [8]