TAIJI GROUP(SH:600129) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-08-22 02:59Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][13]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 5.66 billion RMB, down 27.6% year-on-year, and net profit at 139 million RMB, down 71.9% year-on-year [2]. - The pharmaceutical industrial segment faced pressure, with a 44% decline in revenue, while the pharmaceutical commercial segment saw a 9.9% decrease [3]. - The company is undergoing a transformation in its marketing model, leading to a notable decrease in sales expense ratio, which is expected to improve future profitability [3]. - A share buyback plan has been announced, with an amount ranging from 80 to 120 million RMB, aimed at enhancing shareholder value [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 5.66 billion RMB, a decrease of 27.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 139 million RMB, down 71.9% year-on-year. The second quarter alone saw revenue of 2.83 billion RMB, down 21.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 64 million RMB, down 74.1% year-on-year [2]. Operational Analysis - The pharmaceutical industrial revenue was approximately 2.84 billion RMB, down 44% year-on-year, while the pharmaceutical commercial revenue was about 3.37 billion RMB, down 9.9% year-on-year. The decline in sales of key products, such as the Tai Chi Huoxiang Zhengqi Oral Liquid, significantly impacted revenue [3]. - The company is optimizing its marketing structure and enhancing internal collaboration, resulting in a sales expense ratio of 13.99%, a decrease of 17.67 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin for the pharmaceutical industrial segment was 42.44%, down 20.46 percentage points year-on-year, indicating potential for recovery as inventory levels improve [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 10.52 billion RMB and 11.65 billion RMB, respectively, with a projected revenue of 12.72 billion RMB for 2027. Net profit forecasts for the same years have been revised to 452 million RMB and 582 million RMB, with an expected net profit of 725 million RMB in 2027 [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.81 RMB, 1.04 RMB, and 1.30 RMB, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 29, 22, and 18 times [5].