Guosen International·2025-08-22 05:49Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 62.3 HKD, representing an upside potential of 18.6% from the recent closing price of 52.55 HKD [7]. Core Insights - The company achieved record-high revenue and adjusted net profit in Q2 2025, with revenue reaching 1159.6 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, and adjusted net profit of 108.3 billion RMB, up 75.4% year-on-year, slightly exceeding Bloomberg consensus expectations [1]. - The growth is driven by three main factors: the high-end smartphone strategy and market share increase, the expanding scale effects of the AIoT ecosystem, and the strong performance of the smart electric vehicle business [1][4]. Summary by Sections Smartphone Performance - In Q2 2025, the company's smartphone revenue decreased by 2.1% to 455.2 billion RMB, primarily due to a 2.7% decline in average selling price (ASP) to 1073.2 RMB, partially offset by a 0.6% increase in shipment volume to 42.4 million units [2]. - Despite a 3.8% decline in smartphone shipments in mainland China, the company managed a 3.6% increase in its own shipments, outperforming peers [2]. IoT and Internet Services - Revenue from IoT and lifestyle products reached 387.1 billion RMB in Q2, marking a 44.7% year-on-year growth, with a gross margin of 22.5%, up 2.8 percentage points [3]. - Internet services revenue grew by 10.1% year-on-year to 91.0 billion RMB, maintaining a gross margin of 75.4% [3]. Automotive Business - The company delivered 81,302 vehicles in Q2, setting a new record, with the first SUV model, Xiaomi YU7, achieving over 240,000 orders within 18 hours of launch [3]. - The ASP for the new model reached 253,700 RMB, a 10.9% increase year-on-year, indicating a shift towards higher-end products and improved profitability [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 483.4 billion RMB in FY 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 32.1% [5]. - Adjusted net profit is expected to reach 42.5 billion RMB in FY 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year increase of 56.0% [5].