Minsheng Securities·2025-08-22 07:07Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Sinopec (600028.SH) [4][6]. Core Views - The report highlights a decline in profits for Q2 2025, with a focus on the petrochemical industry's "anti-involution" trend, which is expected to improve profitability in refining and chemical sectors [4]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.088 CNY per share, resulting in a total dividend payout of 10.67 billion CNY, with a dividend rate of 49.7% [4]. Financial Performance Summary Revenue and Profit - In H1 2025, Sinopec achieved operating revenue of 1,409.05 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 10.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 21.48 billion CNY, down 39.8% year-on-year [1]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 673.7 billion CNY, a year-on-year decline of 14.3% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 8.4%. The net profit for Q2 was 8.22 billion CNY, down 52.7% year-on-year and 38.0% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Exploration and Development - In H1 2025, the company’s oil and gas equivalent production was 26,281 million barrels, a year-on-year increase of 2.0%. The crude oil production was 14,004 million barrels, a slight decrease of 0.3% year-on-year, while natural gas production increased by 5.1% [2]. Refining - The production of gasoline and diesel decreased due to weak demand, with gasoline and diesel output down 4.8% and 17.2% respectively. However, the production of chemical light oil increased by 11.5% [3]. Marketing and Distribution - Total sales of refined oil products decreased by 5.8% year-on-year, while sales of vehicle LNG increased significantly by 53.2% [3]. Chemical Sector - The chemical segment faced increased operating losses due to concentrated capacity release and declining profitability of aromatics products. The total operating profit for this segment was -4.52 billion CNY in H1 2025 [4]. Earnings Forecast - The report projects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 40.29 billion CNY, 44.29 billion CNY, and 49.15 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.33 CNY, 0.37 CNY, and 0.41 CNY [4][5].