Xinda Securities·2025-08-22 07:53Investment Rating - The investment rating for Sinopec (600028.SH) is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report indicates that Sinopec's performance in the first half of 2025 was under pressure due to weak supply and demand in the refining sector, with a significant decline in revenue and net profit compared to the previous year [1][4] - The report highlights that the company achieved a historical high in oil and gas equivalent production, despite a slight decrease in crude oil output [4][5] - The long-term investment value of Sinopec is viewed positively, given its position as a leading player in the petrochemical industry amid a competitive landscape [5][7] Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, Sinopec reported total revenue of CNY 1,409.05 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 10.60%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 21.48 billion, down 39.83% [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of CNY 673.70 billion, a year-on-year decline of 14.31%, and a net profit of CNY 8.22 billion, down 52.73% [2] - The average Brent oil price in the first half of 2025 was USD 71 per barrel, a decrease of 15% year-on-year, impacting the company's inventory and overall performance [4] Segment Performance Summary - The exploration and development segment achieved operating income of CNY 23.6 billion, while refining, marketing, and chemical segments reported operating incomes of CNY 3.5 billion, CNY 8 billion, and a loss of CNY 4.2 billion, respectively [4] - The company processed 120 million tons of crude oil in the first half of 2025, producing 71.4 million tons of refined oil, a decrease of 7.6% year-on-year [4] - The chemical segment showed improvement with ethylene production increasing by 16.4% year-on-year to 7.56 million tons [4] Future Earnings Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is CNY 46.17 billion, CNY 47.86 billion, and CNY 51.73 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of CNY 0.38, CNY 0.39, and CNY 0.43 [7] - The report anticipates a net profit growth rate of -8.2% for 2025, followed by a recovery with growth rates of 3.7% and 8.1% in 2026 and 2027 [7]