Dongguan Securities·2025-08-22 09:08Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the lithium battery industry, indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% in the next six months [2][54]. Core Insights - The lithium battery index has shown strong performance, with a 5.91% increase over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.66 percentage points. Year-to-date, the lithium battery index has risen by 11.38%, also surpassing the CSI 300 index by 2.41 percentage points [4][14]. - Recent price movements in the lithium battery supply chain indicate a significant increase in lithium carbonate prices, which rose by 17.08% to 83,300 CNY/ton, and lithium hydroxide prices increased by 4.33% to 72,300 CNY/ton [6][27]. - The demand for lithium batteries is expected to rise as the traditional peak season for new energy vehicles approaches, driven by the growth in renewable energy and new data center storage needs [7][48]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of August 21, 2025, the lithium battery index has outperformed the CSI 300 index over various time frames, including a 6.46% increase this month and an 11.38% increase year-to-date [4][14]. Price Changes in the Lithium Battery Supply Chain - Key price changes include: - Lithium carbonate: 83,300 CNY/ton, up 17.08% in two weeks - Lithium hydroxide: 72,300 CNY/ton, up 4.33% - Phosphate lithium: 34,300 CNY/ton, up 5.05% - Electrolyte lithium hexafluorophosphate: 55,800 CNY/ton, up 10.93% [6][25][33]. Industry News - In July 2025, new energy vehicle production and sales reached 1.243 million and 1.262 million units, respectively, marking a year-on-year growth of 26.3% and 27.4% [7][44]. - The report highlights the ongoing industrialization of solid-state batteries, which is expected to create structural demand for materials and equipment in the supply chain [7][48]. Recommended Companies - Key companies to watch include: - CATL (300750): Achieved revenue of 178.886 billion CNY in H1 2025, a 7.27% increase year-on-year - Kodali (002850): Revenue of 6.645 billion CNY in H1 2025, up 22.01% - Enjie (002812): Focused on semi-solid battery separator production [49][50].