KEDE Numerical (SH:688305) Soochow Securities·2025-08-22 11:44Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 295 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.24%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 49 million yuan, up 1.27% year-on-year. The decline in profit growth compared to revenue growth is primarily due to increased share-based payment expenses from the 2024 restricted stock incentive plan. Excluding these expenses, profit growth was 13.85%, aligning with revenue growth [2] - The company's gross margin decreased to 38.67% in the first half of 2025, down 4.73 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by changes in accounting policies and a higher proportion of lower-margin automated production line revenue. The net profit margin was 16.60%, down 2.30 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The proportion of technical personnel increased to 31% by the end of the first half of 2025, indicating capacity expansion and rising market demand. The net cash flow from operating activities improved to 165 million yuan, driven by increased cash collections from sales and government R&D funding [4] - The company is steadily expanding its market presence, particularly in the aerospace sector, and has established collaborations with several new users. It is also making strides in the civil sector, achieving significant order growth in various fields [4] - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised downwards due to slower-than-expected recovery in manufacturing sector conditions. The updated net profit estimates are 138 million yuan for 2025, 187 million yuan for 2026, and 243 million yuan for 2027, with corresponding dynamic P/E ratios of 61, 45, and 34 times [4]