冰轮环境（000811）：季度订单增速提升，IDC温控设备景气提升

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.118 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.9%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 266 million yuan, down 19.7%. In Q2 2025, revenue was 1.746 billion yuan, an increase of 1.8% year-on-year, while net profit was 172 million yuan, a decrease of 18.1%, with the decline narrowing compared to Q1 [2][6] - By the end of Q2 2025, the company's contract liabilities increased by 12.0% year-on-year, indicating that the order growth rate has turned positive for three consecutive quarters, with an acceleration in growth, particularly in the data center temperature control equipment orders [2][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 3.118 billion yuan in H1 2025, down 6.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 266 million yuan, down 19.7%. In Q2 2025, revenue was 1.746 billion yuan, up 1.8% year-on-year, while net profit was 172 million yuan, down 18.1%, showing a narrowing decline compared to Q1 [2][6] - The net profit margin for Q2 2025 was 10.9%, a decrease of approximately 2.0 percentage points year-on-year, but an increase compared to the previous quarter. The gross margin was 29.4%, a slight decrease of 0.33 percentage points year-on-year [13] Order Trends - The order trend indicates that since Q2 2023, the growth rate of orders has slowed due to increased macroeconomic pressures. However, by the end of Q4 2024, contract liabilities showed a year-on-year growth of 1.4%, marking the first positive growth in six quarters. The growth rates for Q1 and Q2 2025 were 8% and 12%, respectively, indicating a positive trend [13] Business Structure - In H1 2025, revenue from central air conditioning (Yantai Ice Wheel Group Hong Kong Co., Ltd.) was 1.193 billion yuan, up 2.9% year-on-year, with net profit of 162 million yuan, up 27.0%. This growth is primarily driven by orders from the data center sector [13] - The overseas revenue for H1 2025 was 1.02 billion yuan, up 30.16% year-on-year, accounting for approximately 32.6% of total revenue, while domestic revenue was 2.1 billion yuan, down 18.2% [13] Cash Flow and Forecast - The operating cash flow for 2024 was 721 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 112%. The cash flow significantly improved, with Q2 2025 showing a net cash flow of 110 million yuan, a slight decrease of 6.8% year-on-year [13] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 7.09 billion yuan, 8.06 billion yuan, and 9.19 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of +6.9%, +13.6%, and +14.0% [13]