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小米集团-W(01810):创新业务快速发展,IoT业务收入创新高
Yong Xing Zheng Quan·2025-08-22 13:17

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group [4][7]. Core Insights - The innovative business segment is rapidly developing, with revenue from smart electric vehicles and AI reaching 21.3 billion yuan in Q2 2025, despite an operating loss of 300 million yuan. The Xiaomi YU7 series launched with over 240,000 units locked in within 18 hours, indicating strong demand [2]. - The overseas penetration of the smartphone business is increasing, with Q2 2025 smartphone revenue at 45.5 billion yuan and a gross margin of 11.5%. Global shipments reached 42.4 million units, a year-on-year increase of 0.6%, with a market share of 14.7% [2]. - IoT and lifestyle product revenue reached a record high of 38.7 billion yuan in Q2 2025, growing 44.7% year-on-year, driven by demand for smart appliances and wearable products in mainland China [3]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts adjusted EPS for 2025-2027 to be 1.80, 2.32, and 2.99 yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 26.82, 20.88, and 16.19 respectively [4][6]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 483.38 billion yuan, 595.47 billion yuan, and 726.58 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 32.11%, 23.19%, and 22.02% [6][13]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 40.72 billion yuan in 2025 to 67.37 billion yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 72.11% and 28.87% respectively [6][12]. Market Position - Xiaomi ranks among the top three global smartphone vendors, with significant market share increases in Southeast Asia, Europe, and Africa [2]. - The company is expected to leverage its high-end strategy and overseas expansion to drive steady growth in its smartphone business despite short-term margin pressures [2]. Strategic Outlook - The report expresses optimism regarding Xiaomi's high-end product strategy, the continuous development of AI technology and ecosystem, and the ongoing growth of its automotive business [4].