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永辉超市(601933):存量门店调改加速,静待盈利拐点

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation with a focus on "quality retail," which is expected to improve long-term profitability [6] - The company has closed 227 loss-making stores and is actively adjusting its store operations, with a target of completing adjustments for 208 stores by the end of September [6] - The company reported a significant increase in sales for adjusted stores during the summer season, with a year-on-year growth of 75% [6] - The company is implementing supply chain reforms and aims to reduce the number of suppliers from 2300 to 800 core strategic partners, which is expected to lower procurement costs by 15% [6] - The company maintains a positive outlook on long-term growth despite short-term profit pressures due to store closures and adjustments [6] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - For 2025, the company expects total revenue of 60,010 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.2% [5] - The company anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of -542 million yuan for 2025, with a projected recovery to 582 million yuan in 2026 [5] - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize and improve in the long term as store adjustments take effect [6] - The company forecasts revenues of 600 billion yuan, 740 billion yuan, and 826 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6]