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再鼎医药(09688):维持全年收入指引,下半年多个里程碑事件值得期待
Guotou Securities·2025-08-23 08:24

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating to the company, with a 6-month target price of HKD 33.87 [6]. Core Insights - The company maintains its full-year revenue guidance for 2025, projecting revenue between USD 560 million and USD 590 million, reflecting confidence in the accelerated sales of its already launched products in the second half of the year [2][3]. - Several key milestones are anticipated in the second half of 2025, including submissions for new drug applications and expected approvals for existing products, which could significantly impact revenue growth [3][4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at CNY 4.01 billion, CNY 5.48 billion, and CNY 7.49 billion, respectively, with net profits expected to improve from a loss of CNY 1.11 billion in 2025 to a profit of CNY 590 million by 2027 [4][9]. - The company is expected to achieve a gross margin of 65% in 2025, increasing to 70% by 2027, indicating improving profitability [11][15]. Market Performance - The company's stock price as of August 22, 2025, was HKD 26.80, with a 12-month price range of HKD 13.78 to HKD 34.55 [6]. - The report notes a relative return of -15.4% over the past month and an absolute return of 94.5% over the past year, indicating significant volatility but also potential for recovery [7]. Clinical Development Pipeline - The company has a robust clinical development pipeline, with several key products expected to enter clinical trials or receive regulatory approvals in the near future, which could enhance its market position [3][4].