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泡泡玛特(09992):2025 年半年报业绩点评:25H1美洲市场爆发,IP矩阵“一超多强”
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-08-23 14:01

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, citing optimistic growth prospects due to successful overseas expansion and the emergence of new IPs [11]. Core Insights - The company reported profits exceeding expectations for the first half of 2025, with significant growth anticipated in key markets, particularly in the Americas, where new IPs are expected to gain consumer favor [2]. - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 138.8 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 204.4%, while net profit was 46.8 billion RMB, up 385.6% [11]. - The IP matrix has formed a "one strong, many strong" pattern, with five major IPs generating over 1 billion RMB in revenue, indicating robust growth potential in overseas markets [4]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue to grow from 6,345 million RMB in 2023 to 68,713 million RMB by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 36.4% [5]. - Net profit is projected to increase from 1,082 million RMB in 2023 to 23,843 million RMB in 2027, with a significant growth rate of 127.5% in 2024 [5]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 61.32% in 2023 to 76% by 2026, indicating enhanced profitability [13]. Market Performance - The company's stock has a current market capitalization of 430,279 million HKD, with a 52-week price range of 45.35 to 320.40 HKD [8]. - The report highlights that the Americas market has seen a revenue increase of over 11 times year-on-year, with expectations for continued high growth [11].