Xinda Securities·2025-08-23 14:52Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2] Core Views - The report highlights that the coal business has maintained stable production and reduced costs, indicating a potential long-term value reassessment [2][3] - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 74.436 billion yuan, down 19.9% year-on-year, and net profit at 7.705 billion yuan, down 21.3% year-on-year [2] - Effective cost control measures have helped mitigate the impact of falling prices on profitability, with a significant reduction in unit sales costs for self-produced coal [2][3] - The company is actively optimizing its industrial layout and advancing key projects, including coal, electricity, and chemical sectors [3][5] Financial Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a self-produced coal output of 67.34 million tons, an increase of 1.3% year-on-year, and sales of 67.11 million tons, an increase of 1.4% year-on-year [2] - The average selling price of self-produced coal was 470 yuan/ton, a decrease of 19.5% year-on-year, with specific declines in power coal and coking coal prices [2] - The company’s financial structure has improved, with a reduction in asset impairment losses and a decrease in the debt-to-asset ratio to 45.02% [5] - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 is 16.9 billion, 17.6 billion, and 18.3 billion yuan respectively, with diluted EPS projected at 1.27, 1.33, and 1.38 yuan [5][6]