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爱玛科技(603529):25Q2业绩点评:盈利能力持续向上

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [2] Core Views - Q2 performance met expectations with a significant increase in profitability and sales volume [5][6] - The company aims for an annual sales target of 13 million units, representing a year-on-year growth of 20% [7] - Revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 show strong growth potential [7] Revenue Analysis - Q2 sales volume reached approximately 3.3 million units, a year-on-year increase of about 17% [5] - Average Selling Price (ASP) was approximately 2058 yuan, up 3% year-on-year but down 2% quarter-on-quarter [5] - Net profit per unit was approximately 184 yuan, an increase of 18 yuan year-on-year but a decrease of 20 yuan quarter-on-quarter [5] Profitability Analysis - Q2 net profit margin was 8.9%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [6] - Gross margin was 18.9%, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [6] - Structural improvements and cost reduction efforts are expected to significantly enhance profitability [6] Financial Performance - Q2 revenue was 6.798 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.6% [9] - Q2 net profit attributable to the parent company was 608 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.1% [9] - The company plans to distribute a mid-term dividend of 6.28 yuan per 10 shares, corresponding to a dividend payout ratio of 45% [9] Financial Forecasts - Expected revenues for 2025-2027 are 26.671 billion yuan, 31.049 billion yuan, and 35.384 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 23.4%, 16.4%, and 14% respectively [10] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 2.571 billion yuan, 3.002 billion yuan, and 3.467 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 29.3%, 16.8%, and 15.5% respectively [10] - The company is expected to maintain a P/E ratio of 13, 11, and 10 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating further upside potential [7][10]