PAB(SZ:000001) Guoxin Securities·2025-08-23 15:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Neutral" [5][3]. Core Views - The company's overall performance meets expectations, with a narrowing decline in revenue and profit. The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is projected at 421/425/430 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -5.5%/1.1%/1.2% [3][4]. - The annualized weighted average ROE for the first half of 2025 is 10.7%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company's total assets grew by 2.1% year-on-year to 5.87 trillion yuan, with retail AUM increasing by 0.4% year-to-date [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was 69.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 10.0%, which is a 3.0 percentage point improvement compared to the first quarter [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 24.9 billion yuan, down 3.9% year-on-year, with a 1.7 percentage point improvement from the first quarter [1]. - The average net interest margin for the first half of 2025 was 1.80%, a decrease of 16 basis points year-on-year, primarily due to falling market interest rates and loan structure adjustments [2]. - Non-interest income decreased by 2.0% year-on-year, mainly due to a decline in management fee income from wealth management products [2]. Asset Quality Summary - The non-performing loan generation rate for the first half of 2025 was 2.21%, a slight decrease of 0.01 percentage points year-on-year, indicating stable asset quality [2]. - The non-performing loan ratio at the end of the second quarter was 1.05%, down 0.01 percentage points from the beginning of the year [2]. - The coverage ratio for provisions was 238% at the end of the second quarter, a decrease of 13 percentage points from the beginning of the year [2].