转债周度跟踪：转债百元估值向40%迈进-20250823

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - As the equity market continues to break through and rise, a positive cycle is formed between the market's profit - making effect and the continuous influx of funds, solidifying the "bull market expectation". Convertible bonds rise in tandem with the underlying stocks. Due to the supply - demand mismatch in the convertible bond market, the number of convertible bonds redeemed early in the bull market increases, leading to a decrease in supply, while the continuous expansion of the "fixed - income +" strategy boosts the demand for convertible bonds, driving up the valuation of convertible bonds. Currently, the 100 - yuan valuation of convertible bonds is approaching the historical high of around 40%. Low - price convertible bonds have limited upside potential, while high - price and low - premium convertible bonds are expected to fully release their bull - market elasticity, and equity - like convertible bonds may become the key focus of the market [2][7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Weekly Views and Outlooks - With the equity market's upward trend, the "bull market expectation" is strengthened. Convertible bonds follow the underlying stocks. The supply - demand imbalance in the convertible bond market, with reduced supply due to early redemptions and increased demand from "fixed - income +" expansion, pushes up valuations. Low - price convertible bonds face challenges in breaking through price ceilings, while high - price and low - premium convertible bonds are more promising [2][7]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Valuation - This week, convertible bonds and underlying stocks continued to rise strongly, with similar涨幅. The 100 - yuan valuation has exceeded 35% and is approaching the historical high. The market - wide 100 - yuan premium rate of convertible bonds is 37%, up 2.11% from last week, and the latest percentile is at the 95.10% level since 2017. The valuations of high - and low - rated convertible bonds both increased by about 2%. After removing outliers, the 100 - yuan valuations of high - and low - rated convertible bonds are at extreme levels since 2017 [6][8]. - The yield to maturity of convertible bonds reached a new low since 2017, reporting - 7.21%. As of now, the conversion premium rate index, pure - bond premium rate index, and yield to maturity are 43.18%, 47.58%, and - 7.21% respectively, with week - on - week changes of +1.10%, +4.26%, and - 0.93%. Their current percentile levels since 2017 are 63.70, 86.20, and 0.00 respectively [6][13]. 3.3 Clause Tracking 3.3.1 Redemption - This week, Rongtai Convertible Bond, Dongjie Convertible Bond, Haitai Convertible Bond, Sheyan Convertible Bond, Chongda Convertible Bond 2, and Dayuan Convertible Bond issued early redemption announcements. Currently, there are 26 convertible bonds that have issued early redemption or maturity redemption announcements but have not yet delisted, with a potential conversion or maturity balance of 4.7 billion yuan for the non - delisted convertible bonds subject to early redemption or maturity redemption [6][18]. - There are currently 45 convertible bonds in the redemption process, and 16 are expected to meet the redemption conditions next week, which should be closely monitored [22]. - Seven convertible bonds issued non - redemption announcements this week [25]. 3.3.2 Downward Revision - Qifan Convertible Bond proposed a downward revision this week. As of now, 132 convertible bonds are in the non - downward - revision period, 23 cannot be downward - revised due to net asset constraints, 1 has triggered the condition but the stock price is still below the downward - revision trigger price without an announcement, 25 are accumulating days for downward revision, and 4 have issued downward - revision board proposals but have not yet held a general meeting of shareholders [26]. 3.3.3 Put Option - No convertible bonds issued put - option announcements this week. As of now, 5 convertible bonds are accumulating days to trigger the put - option condition, among which 4 are in the non - downward - revision period and 1 is accumulating days for downward revision [29]. 3.4 Primary Issuance - Jinwei Convertible Bond was issued this week. As of now, Kaizhong Convertible Bond and Jinwei Convertible Bond have been issued but not yet listed, and Weidao Convertible Bond will be listed on August 27th. There are 4 convertible bonds in the approval - for - registration process, with a to - be - issued scale of 4.1 billion yuan, and 4 in the listing - committee - approved process, with a to - be - issued scale of 9 billion yuan [6][31].