Group 1 - The report highlights that both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks have maintained an upward trend, with technology and brokerage sectors leading the market [2][17] - The report notes a significant divergence between the performance of the STAR 50 and the Hang Seng Tech Index, with the STAR 50 showing rapid growth while the Hang Seng Tech Index experiences slower gains due to liquidity constraints in Hong Kong [2][17] - The report indicates that the liquidity in Hong Kong has been tightening, with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) reducing liquidity, leading to a decrease in the banking sector's surplus from 1,713 million HKD to 539 million HKD as of August 21, 2025 [2][18] Group 2 - The report suggests that the semiconductor sector is poised for growth driven by demand for high-end chips (GPU/HBM) due to generative AI and large model training [26] - The report anticipates that the Hang Seng Tech Index is likely to follow the A-share technology sector in a rebound once liquidity pressures ease [4][26] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the relationship between Hong Kong bank reserves and the performance of the Hang Seng Tech Index, noting that when reserves fluctuate less, both indices tend to perform similarly [21][23]
周度策略行业配置观点：戈多将至：港股流动性压制或逐步减弱-20250823
Great Wall Securities·2025-08-23 15:31