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快手-W(01024):业绩超预期,看好可灵及AI赋能生态变现
Soochow Securities·2025-08-24 07:37

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kuaishou-W (01024.HK) [1] Core Views - The company's Q2 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue reaching 35.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.1%. Adjusted net profit was 5.618 billion yuan, up 20.1% year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 16.0%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points year-on-year [3][9] - The launch of the Keling AI 2.1 model has significantly improved model quality, enhancing dynamic performance and semantic response accuracy, which is expected to drive revenue growth [3][9] - The introduction of the OneRec end-to-end generative recommendation model has improved user engagement, with daily active users (DAU) increasing by 3.4% year-on-year and daily usage time rising by 3.9% year-on-year [3][9] Financial Forecasts - The report forecasts total revenue for Kuaishou to be 126.898 billion yuan in 2024, 142.599 billion yuan in 2025, and 156.929 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 11.78%, 12.37%, and 10.05% respectively [1][10] - The adjusted net profit is projected to reach 17.286 billion yuan in 2025 and 21.450 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.72% and 24.09% respectively [1][10] - The report anticipates that the non-IFRS net profit will be 20.016 billion yuan in 2025 and 24.455 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (P/E) of 14.86x and 12.16x [1][10]