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电企龙头连续发布分红承诺,强化红利提升预期
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-08-24 09:55

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the power sector [6]. Core Views - Leading power companies have announced dividend commitments, enhancing expectations for shareholder returns and reinforcing the dividend advantage of the power sector, which is considered to have long-term investment value [4][16]. - In July, solar power installations added 11 GW, while wind and solar installations saw a continued decline compared to June. As of the end of July, the total installed power generation capacity in the country reached 3.67 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 18.2% [4][16]. Summary by Sections Industry Outlook - Leading power enterprises have released dividend plans, strengthening dividend expectations and enhancing the high dividend value of the power sector. For instance, Changjiang Power announced a profit distribution plan for 2026-2030, committing to a cash dividend of no less than 70% of the net profit attributable to shareholders, with an expected dividend yield of 3.5% for 2025 [4][16]. - Guodian Power also announced a cash dividend plan for 2025-2027, committing to distribute at least 60% of the net profit attributable to shareholders, with a minimum cash dividend of 0.22 RMB per share, leading to an expected dividend yield of 5.3% for 2025 [4][16]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3825.76 points, up 3.49%, while the CSI 300 Index closed at 4378.00 points, up 4.18%. The CITIC Power and Utilities Index closed at 3051.63 points, up 1.59%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.58 percentage points [54][55]. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on undervalued green power sectors, particularly in Hong Kong and wind power operators. Specific companies to watch include Xintian Green Energy (H), Zhongmin Energy, and Funeng Shares. It also suggests monitoring flexible thermal power companies such as Huaneng International and Huadian International, as well as leaders in thermal power flexibility transformation like Qingda Environmental Protection and Huaguang Huaneng [4][16]. Installed Capacity Data - As of the end of July, the cumulative installed capacity for solar power reached 1.11 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 50.8%, while wind power capacity reached 570 million kilowatts, up 22.1% year-on-year. However, the monthly additions for solar and wind power saw a decline compared to June [4][16].