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周专题:美联储降息可期,工具巨头涨价应对关税成本
HUAXI Securities·2025-08-24 11:34

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Recommended [5] Core Views - The Federal Reserve is likely to lower interest rates in the coming months, which may improve year-on-year data for U.S. housing sales and stimulate demand in related industries such as power tools and home appliance exports [9][10] - The U.S. has expanded the scope of Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum products, increasing tariffs to 50% on an additional 407 imported products, which may lead tool giants to initiate a new round of price increases [10][11] Company Dynamics - TCL Electronics reported a revenue of HKD 54.777 billion for the six months ending June 30, 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.41%, with a net profit of HKD 1.09 billion, up 67.78% [12] - Hailong Cold Chain reported a revenue of CNY 1.791 billion for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.86%, with a net profit of CNY 221 million, up 10.38% [3][12] - Xiaomi Group achieved a total revenue of CNY 115.956 billion in the second quarter of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, with a net profit of CNY 10.831 billion, up 75.4% [12] - Changhong Meiling reported a revenue of CNY 18.072 billion for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 20.8%, with a net profit of CNY 417 million, up 0.26% [13] Data Tracking - The LME copper spot price as of August 22, 2025, increased by 0.2% compared to the previous week, while the LME aluminum spot price decreased by 0.4% [14] - The CCFI composite index for shipping rates decreased by 1.55% as of August 22, 2025, compared to the previous week [22] - From January to July 2025, the cumulative year-on-year change in the sales area of commercial housing, completed housing area, and newly started housing area was -4.0%, -16.5%, and -19.4%, respectively [26] - In June 2025, U.S. existing home sales remained flat year-on-year, while new home sales decreased by 7% [28]