申万宏源建筑周报：PPP新规推行，存量项目回款有望改善-20250824

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2][23]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the implementation of new PPP regulations is expected to improve the repayment of existing projects [1]. - The construction sector has shown a week-on-week increase of 1.61%, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index which increased by 3.49% [3][4]. - The report identifies ecological landscaping as the best-performing sub-industry with a weekly increase of 7.53% and an annual increase of 40.00% [6][9]. Industry Performance - The construction industry experienced a weekly increase of 1.61%, lagging behind major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index (+3.49%) and the Shenzhen Component Index (+4.57%) [3][4]. - The top three sub-industries for weekly performance were ecological landscaping (+7.53%), infrastructure private enterprises (+3.85%), and infrastructure state-owned enterprises (+3.13%) [6][9]. - Year-to-date, ecological landscaping leads with a 40.00% increase, followed by design consulting (+26.66%) and infrastructure private enterprises (+25.15%) [6][9]. Key Company Updates - Jianfa Heceng reported a 7.67% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, with a net profit increase of 32.33% [14]. - China Chemical signed new business contracts worth 224.845 billion yuan from January to July 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.38% [14][15]. - The report notes significant revenue changes among various companies, with some experiencing substantial growth while others faced declines [15][16]. Market Trends - The report emphasizes the importance of government support for ongoing projects and the need for policy reinforcement to ensure smooth operations of existing projects [11]. - The construction sector is expected to gain momentum as regional investments align with national strategic layouts, providing potential for significant growth [3][11]. Stock Performance - The report lists the top-performing stocks, with Yuanlin Co. leading with a weekly increase of 61.09%, followed by Pudong Construction (+19.89%) and Gaoxin Development (+18.58%) [10][12]. - Conversely, stocks such as Suzhou Planning and Daqian Ecology saw declines of 12.35% and 9.15%, respectively [10][12]. Valuation and Earnings Forecast - The report provides a detailed valuation table for key companies in the construction sector, indicating projected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024 to 2026 [18]. - Companies like China Railway and China Chemical are highlighted with specific EPS and PE metrics, showcasing their expected financial performance [18].