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公用环保202508第4期:7月全社会用电量同比+8.6%,1-7月新增电力装机32505万千瓦
Guoxin Securities·2025-08-24 13:24

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the public utility and environmental sectors [6][9]. Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in electricity consumption, with a year-on-year growth of 8.6% in July 2025, reaching 1,022.6 billion kWh [3][16]. - The total installed power generation capacity in China reached 367.367 million kW by July 2025, with an increase of 32.505 million kW compared to the end of 2024 [3][17]. - The new energy storage capacity has seen substantial growth, with a cumulative installed capacity of 101.3 GW by mid-2025, marking a 110% increase year-on-year [16][18]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 4.18%, while the public utility index increased by 1.89% and the environmental index by 1.33% [15][29]. - Within the electricity sector, thermal power increased by 3.38%, hydropower by 1.05%, and new energy generation by 1.91% [15][32]. Important Events - In July 2025, the total electricity consumption reached 1,022.6 billion kWh, with the first industry showing a 20.2% increase, the second industry a 4.7% increase, and the third industry a 10.7% increase [3][16]. - The installed capacity for various power sources as of July 2025 includes hydropower at 44.161 million kW, thermal power at 148.66 million kW, nuclear power at 6.094 million kW, wind power at 57.487 million kW, and solar power at 110.96 million kW [3][17]. Investment Strategy - Recommendations include major thermal power companies like Huadian International and Shanghai Electric, as well as leading new energy firms such as Longyuan Power and Three Gorges Energy [5][26]. - The report suggests that the nuclear power sector will maintain stable profitability, recommending companies like China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [5][26]. - In the environmental sector, it highlights opportunities in water and waste incineration industries, recommending companies like China Everbright Environment and Zhongshan Public Utilities [5][27]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - Huadian International is rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 0.46 for 2024 and 0.62 for 2025 [9]. - Longyuan Power is also rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 0.75 for 2024 and 0.85 for 2025 [9]. - China Nuclear Power is rated "Outperform" with an expected EPS of 0.46 for 2024 and 0.50 for 2025 [9].