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宝丰能源(600989):业绩符合预期,内蒙新产能贡献显著

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Baofeng Energy (600989) [1][6][14] Core Views - The company's performance meets expectations, with significant contributions from new production capacity in Inner Mongolia [1][5][12] - The company achieved a revenue of 22.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.72 billion yuan, up 73.0% year-on-year [4][5] - The new production capacity in Inner Mongolia has positioned the company as the leader in China's coal-to-olefins industry, with a total olefin production capacity of 5.2 million tons per year [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company produced 1.164 million tons of polyolefins, accounting for 48.39% of total production, contributing significantly to revenue [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.28 yuan per share, which represents 35.62% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [4] Future Outlook - The company is progressing well with ongoing projects, including the Ningdong Phase IV olefin project, which is expected to be completed by the end of 2026 [5] - New projects in Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia are also in the pipeline, which may provide additional growth opportunities [5] Earnings Forecast - The projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.57 yuan, 1.89 yuan, and 2.01 yuan respectively, indicating strong growth potential [6][7] - Revenue is expected to grow significantly, with estimates of 48.6 billion yuan in 2025 and 58.1 billion yuan in 2026 [7]