sntonly(BJ:834599) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-24 13:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8] Core Views - The company reported H1 2025 revenue of 3.169 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.69%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 321 million yuan, up 8.3% year-on-year [5][8] - The domestic market shows a clear demand for the replacement of traditional fuel mining trucks with new energy models, with the market size expected to grow from 1.7 billion yuan in 2023 to 11.2 billion yuan in 2028, representing a CAGR of 45.7% [8] - The company has received multiple international awards, enhancing its technological leadership and global influence, ranking 39th in the 2025 Global Construction Machinery Manufacturers list [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - H1 2025 total revenue is projected at 6.961 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 13.3% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 868 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.4% [7] - The company's gross margin is forecasted to improve from 19.8% in H1 2025 to 23.1% by 2027 [7] Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is positioned as a leader in the non-road wide-body dump truck market, with a significant market share and a strong order backlog [8] - The market for L4 level unmanned mining trucks is anticipated to reach a penetration rate of over 50% by 2030, with sales expected to grow from approximately 4,000 units in 2025 to about 16,340 units by 2030, representing a CAGR of 32.5% [8] - The company emphasizes its first-mover advantage in the non-road wide-body dump truck sector, maintaining a strong market position [8]