Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan·2025-08-24 14:15Investment Rating - The industry is rated positively, with expectations of overall returns exceeding the CSI 300 index by more than 5% in the next six months [45]. Core Insights - China's defense budget has maintained a growth rate of around 7%, with defense spending accounting for less than 1.5% of GDP, which is below the average level of major military powers. There is significant room for growth in defense spending, which is expected to outpace GDP growth in the long term. The year 2025 is anticipated to mark a turning point for the industry, moving away from a period of stagnation towards a comprehensive recovery. As orders normalize and are gradually released, the military industry sector may enter a phase of performance improvement and valuation enhancement, referred to as the "Davis Double-Trigger" phase. It is recommended to focus on high-quality leading companies in advanced fighter jets, low-altitude economy, domestic large aircraft, satellite internet, and deep-sea technology sectors, which have favorable competitive landscapes and high technological barriers [4][9]. Summary by Sections Industry Insights - The defense budget growth rate in China is around 7%, with spending as a percentage of GDP below 1.5%, indicating potential for significant growth. The military sector is expected to recover in 2025, with a return to normal order levels leading to improved performance and valuations [4][9]. Market Performance - In the past week, the CSI 300 index increased by 4.90%, while the aerospace and defense index rose by 4.19%. For the month, the CSI 300 index saw a 7.16% increase, and the aerospace and defense index increased by 8.25% [10]. Industry News - The preparations for the 80th anniversary of the victory in the War of Resistance against Japan are progressing smoothly, showcasing new military equipment, including advanced fourth-generation equipment and various unmanned systems, highlighting the military's capabilities in modern warfare [14][15]. Company Tracking - Several companies reported their semi-annual results, with varying performance metrics. For instance, *ST Lihang reported a revenue of 54.34 million yuan, down 49.72% year-on-year, while Hongyuan Electronics achieved a revenue of 1.018 billion yuan, up 22.27% year-on-year [21][22][43].