Soochow Securities·2025-08-25 04:31Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a cooling trend in temperatures leading to a decrease in US gas prices, while European storage efforts are pushing prices up. Domestic gas prices are also experiencing a decline due to slow demand recovery [5][10] - The supply-demand analysis indicates a slight increase in total gas supply in the US, while demand has decreased slightly. European gas prices have risen due to storage efforts, and domestic gas prices have also fallen [15][16] - The report emphasizes the ongoing progress in price adjustments across various cities, which is expected to enhance profitability for city gas companies and support valuation recovery [35] Summary by Sections Price Tracking - As of August 22, 2025, US HH gas prices decreased by 3.1%, while European TTF prices increased by 7.6%. Domestic LNG prices fell by 1.7% [10][12] Supply and Demand Analysis - US total gas supply increased by 0.4% week-on-week to 1,126 billion cubic feet per day, while total demand decreased by 1.2% to 1,061 billion cubic feet per day. European gas consumption for the first five months of 2025 was 2,180 billion cubic meters, up 6.6% year-on-year [15][16] Price Adjustment Progress - Nationwide, 64% of cities have implemented residential price adjustments, with an average increase of 0.21 yuan per cubic meter. The report suggests that there is still a 10% room for price gap recovery [35] Important Announcements - The report notes significant mid-year performance announcements from various gas companies, indicating mixed results in revenue and profit growth [41] Important Events - The report mentions a reduction in the US LNG import tariff from 140% to 25%, enhancing the economic viability of US gas imports [42][44] - It also discusses the EU's agreement to provide greater flexibility in natural gas storage targets, allowing for a 10% deviation from the 90% storage goal [49] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing price mechanism adjustments, particularly those with strong long-term contracts and flexible operations [5][35]