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期指:偏强运行
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-08-25 05:10

Report Investment Rating - The investment rating for index futures is "strong - biased operation" [3] Core Viewpoints - On August 22, all the current - month contracts of the four major index futures rose. IF rose 2.72%, IH rose 2.8%, IC rose 2.5%, and IM rose 2.25%. The total trading volume of index futures rebounded, showing an increase in investors' trading enthusiasm. The total trading volume of IF, IH, and IC increased, while that of IM decreased. The total positions of IF, IH, IC, and IM all increased [1][2] Summary by Content 1. Index Futures Data - Prices and Changes: The closing prices of major stock indices such as CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 rose, with increases of 2.10%, 2.32%, 1.77%, and 1.51% respectively. The corresponding index futures contracts also showed varying degrees of increase, with IF2509 rising 2.72%, IH2509 rising 2.80%, IC2509 rising 2.50%, and IM2509 rising 2.25% [1] - Trading Volume and Position Changes: IF's total trading volume increased by 19,002 lots, IH's by 13,850 lots, IC's by 7,116 lots, and IM's decreased by 13,374 lots. IF's total positions increased by 18,890 lots, IH's by 10,155 lots, IC's by 4,551 lots, and IM's by 694 lots [2] - Basis: The basis of each index futures contract varies. For example, the basis of IF2509 is 16, and that of IH2509 is 13.39 [1] 2. Top 20 Member Position Changes - The long - position and short - position changes of the top 20 members in different index futures contracts are different. For example, in the IF2509 contract, the long - position increase is 6,722, and the short - position increase is 9,538 [5] 3. Trend Intensity and Important Drivers - Trend Intensity: The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1, indicating a "strong - biased" state [6] - Important Drivers: The National Development and Reform Commission, the State Administration for Market Regulation, and the Cyberspace Administration of China solicited public opinions on the "Rules for Internet Platform Pricing Behavior (Draft for Comment)". Fed Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole central bank meeting led traders to increase bets on a Fed rate cut in September. The central bank carried out a 600 - billion - yuan MLF operation on August 25, with a net investment of 300 billion yuan this month, and also carried out a 300 - billion - yuan net investment in outright reverse repurchases, with a total net investment of 600 billion yuan in medium - term liquidity in August. The State Council executive meeting studied policies to release sports consumption potential and promote the high - quality development of the sports industry, and reviewed and approved the "Overall Plan for the 'Three - North' Shelter Forest Program" [6][7] 4. A - share Market Performance - The A - share market opened higher and continued to rise unilaterally. The Shanghai Composite Index easily exceeded 3,800 points, and the STAR 50 soared 8%. The brokerage sector and the TMT sector were strong, and some stocks such as Cambricon and Hygon Information had a 20% daily limit. The overall market had a mixed rise and fall, with micro - cap stocks falling against the trend. The total trading volume of A - shares for the day was 2.58 trillion yuan [7]