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光伏行业周报(20250818-20250824):华润华电集采开标价格明显上涨,强化价格传导预期-20250825
Huachuang Securities·2025-08-25 05:17

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the photovoltaic industry [1] Core Views - The significant increase in procurement prices for photovoltaic components by China Resources and Huadian strengthens the expectation of price transmission, which is likely to enhance industry confidence and solidify profitability across the supply chain [2][14] - The domestic photovoltaic installation in July 2025 saw a decrease, attributed to the end of the "531" policy's rush for installations, but the overall annual growth in installations is expected to continue [13][14] - Export volumes for battery components and inverters remained stable, with a slight increase in export value for battery components in July 2025 [15][31] Summary by Sections Section 1: July Domestic Photovoltaic Installations and Exports - In July 2025, domestic photovoltaic installations were 11.04 GW, a year-on-year decrease of 48% and a month-on-month decrease of 23% [13] - Battery component exports in July amounted to 158.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14% but a month-on-month increase of 0.5% [15] - Inverter exports in July totaled 65.1 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 16% but a month-on-month decrease of 1% [31] Section 2: Market Performance Review - The overall market performance for the photovoltaic industry has shown resilience, with a projected increase in global installations expected to reach 570-630 GW in 2025 [13] - The report highlights the performance of various regions, noting that exports to Europe and Asia have seen growth in July [20][24] Section 3: Photovoltaic Industry Chain Prices - The average prices for key materials such as polysilicon and solar cells remained stable, indicating a balanced supply-demand situation in the market [4] - The report details the procurement prices from major companies, indicating a trend towards higher prices which may impact future profitability [14]