Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The pork market is experiencing an oversupply, leading to a continued decline in pork prices [2] - The planting industry is focusing on pest control for autumn crops, which is crucial for achieving the annual grain production target of approximately 1.4 trillion jin [11] - The commercialization of genetically modified crops is expected to accelerate, enhancing self-sufficiency in key varieties [11] Summary by Sections Planting Industry - A national meeting was held to address pest control for autumn crops, emphasizing its importance for overall grain yield [11] - The autumn crop accounts for three-quarters of the annual grain production, making pest control critical [11] - The Ministry of Agriculture is promoting the protection of new plant varieties to support innovation in the seed industry [11] - Recommended stocks include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development in the planting sector, and major seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [11] Swine Farming - The average price of external three-breed pigs is 13.80 yuan/kg, with a slight weekly decrease of 0.07% [2] - Demand remains weak, and there are no immediate positive factors expected to boost demand [2] - The number of breeding sows has decreased to 40.43 million, down 370,000 from the peak last year [2] - Recommended stocks in the breeding sector include DeKang Agriculture, Jingji Zhino, Muyuan Foods, and Wen's Foodstuffs [2] Key Agricultural Products Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2385.10 yuan/ton, down 0.39% week-on-week [24] - Wheat: The average price is 2435.58 yuan/ton, down 0.10% week-on-week [27] - Rice: The average price for japonica rice is 2892.80 yuan/ton, down 0.66% week-on-week [32] - Soybeans: The average price is 3952.63 yuan/ton, up 0.27% week-on-week [37] - Cotton: The average price in Xinjiang is 15090.00 yuan/ton, up 0.18% week-on-week [42] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.71 yuan/kg, down 0.37% week-on-week [49] - The average price of vitamin E is 67.50 yuan/kg, unchanged week-on-week [49]
农林牧渔行业周报第 26 期:供过于求局面加剧,猪价继续下跌-20250825