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电子行业周报:DeepSeek正式发布新模型V3.1,英伟达暂停H20芯片生产-20250825
Huaxin Securities·2025-08-25 06:43

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the semiconductor industry is maintained as "Buy" for specific companies such as SMIC, Tongfu Microelectronics, and Yongxi Electronics [8][17]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing significant growth, with the electronic sector rising by 8.95% from August 18 to August 22, 2025, outperforming the broader market [23][27]. - DeepSeek's new model, V3.1, has been released, showcasing improved efficiency and cost-effectiveness, which is expected to drive the adoption of domestic chips [4][14]. - Nvidia has paused the production of its H20 chip due to supply chain management issues and export restrictions, which has raised concerns among Chinese customers [5][15]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The electronic sector's performance over the past month shows a 22.0% increase, with a 35.4% rise over three months and an impressive 83.2% increase over the past year [2]. - The electronic industry's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 66.66, indicating high valuation compared to other sectors [23][26]. Key Company Updates - DeepSeek's V3.1 model achieved a score of 71.6% in a programming benchmark, with a task completion cost of only $1.01, highlighting its competitive edge [4][14]. - Nvidia's H20 chip, initially set for large-scale delivery in 2024, faces production halts due to U.S. export controls, impacting its market strategy [5][15]. Company Focus and Earnings Forecast - Key companies recommended for investment include: - SMIC (Buy) with a projected EPS of 0.73 for 2025 and a P/E of 77.95 [8][17]. - Tongfu Microelectronics (Buy) with a projected EPS of 0.83 for 2025 and a P/E of 36.42 [8][17]. - Yongxi Electronics (Buy) with a projected EPS of 0.49 for 2025 and a P/E of 81.63 [8][17]. - The semiconductor industry is advised to focus on domestic supply chains and companies such as Cambricon, Huahong, and North Huachuang [6][15].