生猪、玉米周报：政策利多支撑生猪市场，玉米盘面关注下方支撑-20250825

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report. 2. Core View - Policy support is expected to boost the pig market, while the corn market is facing downward pressure with limited upward potential on the futures price [2][3][7]. 3. Summary by Category Pig Market - Futures: The LH2511 contract closed at 13,840 yuan/ton, down 0.5% from the previous week's settlement price [3]. - Spot: The national average price of ternary pigs was 13.82 yuan/kg, up 0.02 yuan/kg week-on-week [3]. - Profit: As of August 22, the profit of self - breeding and self - raising pigs was 33.95 yuan/head, an increase of 33.95 yuan/head week - on - week; the profit of purchasing piglets for fattening was - 151.8 yuan/head, an increase of 5.25 yuan/head week - on - week; the pig - grain ratio was 5.84, unchanged week - on - week [3]. - Market Situation: Pig prices were volatile last week with regional differences. Southern prices rose slightly due to second - fattening and transportation, while northern prices weakened due to increased supply and limited demand. Policy support from potential state reserve purchases and improved demand from the start of the school season in late August are expected to support prices [3]. Corn Market - Futures: The C2511 contract closed at 2,175 yuan/ton, down 0.78% from the previous week's settlement price [5]. - Spot: The national average spot price of corn was 2,381.96 yuan/ton, down 12.16 yuan/ton week - on - week. Port prices also declined [5]. - Industrial Consumption: From August 14 - 20, 2025, 149 major corn deep - processing enterprises consumed 113.62 million tons of corn, down 0.45 million tons week - on - week. Corn starch production and开机率 decreased, while the DDGS industry开机率 and production increased [6]. - Inventory: As of August 20, the corn inventory of 96 major processing enterprises in 12 regions was 3.147 billion tons, a decrease of 7.5%. As of August 22, the total corn inventory in four northern ports was about 1.5 billion tons, and in Guangdong ports it was 750 million tons [6]. - Market Situation: The corn spot market was weak last week. Supply increased due to import auctions and rotation sales in the Northeast, and increased arrivals in the North China. Demand was affected by equipment maintenance in starch plants and remained at a rigid level in feed enterprises. The futures price rebounded slightly but the upward space is limited [7].