转债市场周报：加强个券业绩、条款方面的考量-20250825

Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the content. Core Viewpoints - Last week, the equity market continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index hitting a ten - year high and breaking through 3800 points. The semiconductor and computing power domestic substitution logic was strengthened, and the technology sector performed well. The bond market generally declined due to the stock - bond seesaw effect, tightened capital at the tax period, and weakened expectations of total easing policies in the second half of the year. The 10 - year treasury bond rate closed at 1.78% on Friday, up 3.53bp from the previous week. The convertible bond market showed a strong performance, with most convertible bond issues rising. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 2.83% for the whole week [1][7][8]. - In the future, the short - term popularity of the stock market is expected to remain high. With the dovish speech of the Federal Reserve Chairman at the Jackson Hole meeting, it is recommended to increase the consideration of performance and layout along the directions with strong industrial trend certainty such as computing power, robotics, intelligent driving, and semiconductor self - controllability. Attention can also be paid to the clause game opportunities of convertible bonds with short remaining terms and strong debt - reduction demands [3][15]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Market Focus (2025/8/18 - 2025/8/22) Stock Market - The equity market continued to rise last week. The Shanghai Composite Index reached a ten - year high and broke through 3800 points. The semiconductor and computing power domestic substitution logic was strengthened by news such as DeepSeek updating its model to DeepSeek - V3.1, NVIDIA suspending the production of H20 chips, and the 2025 China Computing Power Conference being held in Datong. The technology sector performed well throughout the week [1][7]. - By industry, all Shenwan primary industries closed up last week. Communications (+10.84%), electronics (+8.95%), comprehensive (+8.25%), computer (+7.93%), and beauty care (+5.35%) led the gains, while real estate (+0.50%), coal (+0.92%), pharmaceutical biology (+1.05%), and banks (+1.25%) lagged behind [8]. Bond Market - The bond market generally declined last week. The stock - bond seesaw effect was obvious due to the sharp rise in the equity market. The capital at the tax period tightened marginally, and the central bank's second - quarter monetary policy implementation report weakened the market's expectation of total easing policies in the second half of the year. The 10 - year treasury bond rate closed at 1.78% on Friday, up 3.53bp from the previous week [1][8]. Convertible Bond Market - Most convertible bond issues rose last week. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 2.83% for the whole week, the median price rose 2.82%, the calculated arithmetic average parity rose 2.24% for the whole week, and the market conversion premium rate increased by 2.07% compared with the previous week. The arithmetic average conversion premium rates of convertible bonds with parities in [90,100), [100,110), and [110,120) changed by +2.44%, +3.20%, and +1.10%, respectively, and were at the 99%, 100%, and 97% quantiles since 2023 [2][8]. - By industry, most convertible bond industries closed up last week. Beauty care (+7.29%), computer (+5.26%), electronics (+4.54%), and petroleum and petrochemicals (+4.30%) performed well, while media (-0.32%), household appliances (+0.05%), building decoration (+0.66%), and social services (+0.84%) lagged behind [10]. - At the individual bond level, convertible bonds such as Jintong (liquid - cooled server concept), Huayi (semiconductor clean room), Weice (IC testing), Dongjie (control right change), and Shuiyang (skin care products & significant increase in mid - year report performance) led the gains. Convertible bonds such as Linuo (medical glass), Rongtai (massage equipment & announced forced redemption), Sheyan (engineering design and survey & announced forced redemption), Weixin (innovative drugs), and Youzu (game concept & announced forced redemption) led the losses [2][11]. - The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 470.3 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 94.06 billion yuan, basically the same as the previous week [13]. 2. Valuation - As of last Friday (2025/08/22), in the equity - biased convertible bonds, the average conversion premium rates of convertible bonds with parities in the ranges of 80 - 90 yuan, 90 - 100 yuan, 100 - 110 yuan, 110 - 120 yuan, 120 - 130 yuan, and above 130 yuan were 48.87%, 36.41%, 28.98%, 22.02%, 14.46%, and 11.73%, respectively, at the 99%/100%, 96%/99%, 96%/99%, 95%/98%, 89%/87%, 95%/93% quantiles since 2010/2021. - In the bond - biased convertible bonds, the average YTM of convertible bonds with parities below 70 yuan was - 6.12%, at the 0%/0% quantiles since 2010/2021. - The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds was 43.97%, at the 89%/94% quantiles since 2010/2021. The difference between the convertible bond implied volatility and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stock was - 3.29%, at the 64%/64% quantiles since 2010/2021 [16]. 3. Primary Market Tracking - Last week (2025/8/18 - 2025/8/22), Jinwei Convertible Bond was issued, and no convertible bonds were listed. Jinwei Convertible Bond has a scale of 1.292 billion yuan, a credit rating of AA, and its underlying stock is Jindawen, a company in the food and beverage industry. After deducting the issuance fees, the funds are planned to be invested in projects such as the coenzyme Q10 reconstruction and expansion project [24]. - In the coming week (2025/8/25 - 2025/8/29), no convertible bonds are announced for issuance, and Weidao Convertible Bond is expected to be listed. Weidao Convertible Bond has a scale of 1.17 billion yuan, a credit rating of AA, and its underlying stock is Weidao Nano, a company in the power equipment industry. After deducting the issuance fees, the funds are planned to be invested in projects such as the intelligent factory construction project for semiconductor thin - film deposition equipment [25]. - Last week, the exchanges accepted applications from JINPAN TECHNOLOGY and UNIRAY NEW MATERIAL, the general meetings of shareholders passed the plans of JINGYAN TECHNOLOGY and AOKE TECHNOLOGY, and the board of directors proposed plans for LONGHUA NEW MATERIAL, TBEA, SHENGQUAN GROUP, JIWU HIGH - TECH, and JINSANJIANG. There were no new companies approved for registration by the exchanges or passed by the listing committee. As of now, there are 77 convertible bonds to be issued, with a total scale of 128.34 billion yuan, including 2 issues with a total scale of 1.45 billion yuan that have been approved for registration and 4 issues with a total scale of 8.98 billion yuan that have passed the listing committee [26].